La escuela de los momiosEspañol
US Catanzaro 1929 v Palermo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)
Predicción 38.57%2.59momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.20%38.65%38.55%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.372.5345.45%42.32%42.28%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Palermo (Visitante)
Predicción 30.88%3.24momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.68%30.84%30.82%31.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.34%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.54%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%30.52%30.64%31.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.44%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.41%E -0.951%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.95%EV -4.41%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -3.02%E -0.963%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 17:41 |
| Bovada | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -6.26%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 17:54 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.65%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -12.35%E -4.30%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.62%EV -9.82%E -3.36%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -10.51%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.61%E -6.15%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.01%E -5.82%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -12.05%E -5.29%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.44%E -5.48%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.21%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -13.98%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -15.14%E -6.88%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-17 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 17:41 |
| Smarkets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-17 17:50 |