La scuola delle quote

US Catanzaro 1929 v Palermo

Inizio: 2026-05-17 18:00 UTC

Finale: US Catanzaro 1929 3–0 Palermo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Casa)

Previsione 38.57%2.59quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -0.951%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.20%38.65%38.55%39.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.372.5345.45%42.32%42.28%39.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palermo (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.88%3.24quota equa
EV -2.71%
Vantaggio -0.862%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.68%30.84%30.82%31.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.003.003.1537.04%33.34%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.54%3.27quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.709%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.41%30.52%30.64%31.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.44%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.41%E -0.951%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.76%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.95%EV -4.41%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 17:50
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -3.02%E -0.963%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.71%EV -4.10%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 17:55
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.67%EV -8.99%E -3.02%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 17:35
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:40
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:41
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:41
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -6.26%E -2.58%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 17:54
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.65%E -2.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 17:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.27%E -0.709%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 17:34
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 17:40
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 17:40
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:50
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 17:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 17:40
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 17:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:35
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 17:35
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -12.35%E -4.30%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 17:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 17:40
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 17:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 17:55
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 17:50
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:25
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.75%EV -10.12%E -4.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.85%E -2.25%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -4.26%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 17:35
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.62%EV -9.82%E -3.36%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.51%EV -10.51%E -3.59%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 17:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -11.28%E -4.90%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -16.61%E -6.15%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -16.01%E -5.82%K -9.15%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-17 17:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -12.05%E -5.29%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -12.44%E -5.48%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -11.98%E -4.20%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.10%EV -14.48%E -5.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.21%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -13.52%E -4.83%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.90%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 17:50
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -13.98%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.60%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -15.14%E -6.88%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 17:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-17 17:41
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-17 17:50