Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Südtirol v Modena

Początek: 2026-09-12 13:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Südtirol 1–1 Modena

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Südtirol (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 29.92%3.34kurs godziwy
EV +1.14%
Przewaga +0.337%
Kelly +0.479%
Wzrost +0.005%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.20%29.98%29.84%33.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.973.003.3839.22%33.66%33.33%29.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Modena (Goście)

Prognoza 38.52%2.60kurs godziwy
EV +0.160%
Przewaga +0.062%
Kelly +0.100%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.93%38.35%38.64%40.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.432.412.6046.51%41.22%41.58%38.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.55%3.17kurs godziwy
EV -2.18%
Przewaga -0.704%
Kelly -1.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.58%31.67%31.52%33.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.26%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Südtirol (Gospodarze): 29.92%; Modena (Goście): 38.52%; Remis: 31.55%. Dla wyniku Südtirol (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.34. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.38, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.14%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV +1.14%E +0.337%K +0.479%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.68%EV -10.70%E -3.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.23%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -13.54%E -4.94%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:03
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.23%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -13.54%E -4.94%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:04
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 09:05
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.17%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.54%EV -6.39%E -2.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 04:15
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:09
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -7.16%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 13:40
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 13:45
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -1.77%E -0.693%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 13:04
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 04:14
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 04:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -9.63%E -3.19%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 04:13
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 11:54
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.92%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:00
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:29
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:28
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 10:58
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 11:54
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -17.18%E -7.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-09 04:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -11.13%E -3.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -13.32%E -5.92%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -14.80%E -5.48%K -8.71%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 04:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:55
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.47%E -4.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -13.32%E -5.92%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 04:15
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -14.72%E -5.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.47%E -4.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -4.46%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -6.92%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -20.70%E -7.81%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -20.70%E -7.81%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.53%EV -23.70%E -9.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.93%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 00:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%3.9%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%7.1%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%7.1%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%7.1%2026-09-09 16:50
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%8.2%2026-09-09 17:11