Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Südtirol v Modena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 13:02 UTC

Score final : Südtirol 1–1 Modena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 29.92%3.34cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.337%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.20%29.98%29.84%33.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.973.003.3839.22%33.66%33.33%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Modena (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.52%2.60cote équitable
EV +0.160%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.93%38.35%38.64%40.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.432.412.6046.51%41.22%41.58%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.55%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.704%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.58%31.67%31.52%33.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.26%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Südtirol (Local) : 29.92% ; Modena (Visiteur) : 38.52% ; Match nul : 31.55%. Pour Südtirol (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.38, soit une espérance positive de +1.14%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV +1.14%E +0.337%K +0.479%G +0.005%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.68%EV -10.70%E -3.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.23%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -13.54%E -4.94%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:03
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.67%EV -5.23%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -13.54%E -4.94%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 09:04
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -2.75%E -0.846%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 09:05
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.17%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.54%EV -6.39%E -2.63%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 04:15
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 09:09
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -4.25%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.70%EV -7.16%E -2.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:30
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 13:40
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 13:45
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -1.77%E -0.693%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 13:04
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 04:14
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 04:14
Betclic (FR)🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -9.63%E -3.19%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -12.17%E -5.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.31%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 04:13
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 14:35
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 15:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 11:54
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -6.92%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:00
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:29
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -2.18%E -0.704%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 09:28
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 10:58
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 11:54
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -17.18%E -7.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-09 04:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.24%EV -11.13%E -3.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.60%EV -13.32%E -5.92%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.16%EV -14.80%E -5.48%K -8.71%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -11.73%E -3.98%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 04:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:55
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:55
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -9.47%E -4.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 14:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.40%E -4.96%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -7.54%E -3.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.23%E -4.81%K -7.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -13.32%E -5.92%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.07%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 04:15
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -14.72%E -5.16%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -9.47%E -4.03%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.34%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:05
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +0.160%E +0.062%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.76%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 00:04
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -4.46%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -6.92%E -2.34%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -19.21%E -7.11%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -20.70%E -7.81%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -20.70%E -7.81%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -8.49%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.53%EV -23.70%E -9.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.93%EV -8.31%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -11.65%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.51%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.75%3.9%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%7.1%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%7.1%2026-09-09 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%7.1%2026-09-09 16:50
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%8.2%2026-09-09 17:11