语言:简体中文
Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palermo (主队)
预测 51.39%1.95公平赔率
EV -3.90%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -4.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.87
博彩公司预测分布
49.68%51.50%51.27%52.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.771.8759.52%56.12%56.50%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)
预测 23.19%4.31公平赔率
EV +5.30%
优势 +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.079%
假设最高赔率为 4.54
博彩公司预测分布
21.13%23.01%23.36%24.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.004.004.5427.78%25.00%25.00%22.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.42%3.93公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.559%
Kelly -0.755%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.85
博彩公司预测分布
24.49%25.49%25.38%26.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.97%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palermo (主队)：51.39%；US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)：23.19%；平局：25.42%。 对于“US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.31。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.54，对应+5.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +5.30%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV -7.74%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.01%E -4.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.43%E -0.336%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.49%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -3.98%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -2.41%E -0.627%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.15%E -0.559%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.42%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.61%E -6.75%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.66%E -8.13%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -12.33%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.28%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -12.12%E -7.09%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.40%E -5.35%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |