L’École des cotesPalermo v US Catanzaro 1929
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palermo (Local)
Prévision 51.39%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.90%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -4.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.87
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.68%51.50%51.27%52.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.771.8759.52%56.12%56.50%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.079%
avec la cote maximale 4.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%23.01%23.36%24.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.004.004.5427.78%25.00%25.00%22.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.42%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.559%
Kelly -0.755%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%25.49%25.38%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.97%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +5.30%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV -7.74%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.01%E -4.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.43%E -0.336%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.49%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -3.98%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -2.41%E -0.627%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:56 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.15%E -0.559%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.42%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.61%E -6.75%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.66%E -8.13%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -12.33%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.28%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -12.12%E -7.09%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.40%E -5.35%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |