Школа коэффициентов

Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929

Начало: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Итог: Palermo 3–2 US Catanzaro 1929

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Palermo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.39%1.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.90%
Преимущество -2.08%
Kelly -4.48%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.87

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.68%51.50%51.27%52.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.781.771.8759.52%56.12%56.50%53.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Гости)

Прогноз 23.19%4.31справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.30%
Преимущество +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
Рост +0.079%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.54

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.13%23.01%23.36%24.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.004.004.5427.78%25.00%25.00%22.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.42%3.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.15%
Преимущество -0.559%
Kelly -0.755%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.49%25.49%25.38%26.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.97%27.78%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +5.30%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV -7.74%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.01%E -4.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.43%E -0.336%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.49%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:00
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -3.98%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -2.41%E -0.627%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:56
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.15%E -0.559%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.42%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.61%E -6.75%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 12:59
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.66%E -8.13%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -12.33%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.28%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -12.12%E -7.09%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.40%E -5.35%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-05-01 13:00