مدرسة الاحتمالات

Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929

البداية: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Palermo 3–2 US Catanzaro 1929

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Palermo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.39%1.95السعر العادل
EV -3.90%
الأفضلية -2.08%
Kelly -4.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.68%51.50%51.27%52.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.781.771.8759.52%56.12%56.50%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.19%4.31السعر العادل
EV +5.30%
الأفضلية +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
النمو +0.079%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.13%23.01%23.36%24.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.004.004.5427.78%25.00%25.00%22.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.42%3.93السعر العادل
EV -2.15%
الأفضلية -0.559%
Kelly -0.755%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.49%25.49%25.38%26.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.97%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +5.30%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV -7.74%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.01%E -4.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.43%E -0.336%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.49%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:00
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -3.98%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -2.41%E -0.627%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:56
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.15%E -0.559%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.42%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.61%E -6.75%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 12:59
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.66%E -8.13%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -12.33%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.28%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -12.12%E -7.09%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.40%E -5.35%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-01 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65%2.6%2026-05-01 13:00