La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palermo (Local)
Predicción 51.39%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.68%51.50%51.27%52.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.781.771.8759.52%56.12%56.50%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 23.19%4.31momio equitativo
EV +5.30%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.079%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%23.01%23.36%24.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.004.004.5427.78%25.00%25.00%22.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.42%3.93momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -0.755%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.49%25.49%25.38%26.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.603.8530.77%27.97%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +5.30%E +1.17%K +1.50%G +0.079% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.43%EV -7.74%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.603%G +0.012% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.01%E -4.47%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.269%E -0.063%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.42%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -1.43%E -0.336%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -7.49%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -2.59%E -0.616%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -3.98%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.77%EV -2.41%E -0.627%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:56 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.15%E -0.559%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.26%EV -5.44%E -2.96%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -3.90%E -2.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.42%E -0.901%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.61%E -6.75%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -16.13%E -4.89%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -13.66%E -8.13%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.32%E -3.57%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.88%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -7.23%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.55%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -12.33%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.28%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.69%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.96%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.50%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.72%EV -12.12%E -7.09%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -15.34%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.59%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -9.78%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -16.50%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.40%E -5.35%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.85% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.65% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |