Language:English
Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palermo (Local)
Prediction 55.84%1.79fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.72%55.81%55.90%57.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.671.7365.36%60.45%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit)
Prediction 20.54%4.87fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 4.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.40%20.70%20.54%23.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.464.504.9825.64%22.42%22.22%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.360%
Kelly +0.469%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.49%23.56%25.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.853.804.3030.30%25.95%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 55.84%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 20.54%; Draw: 23.62%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV +2.29%E +0.460%K +0.575%G +0.013% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.45%EV +1.67%E +0.338%K +0.424%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV -0.815%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -1.20%E -0.250%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 17:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -4.49%E -0.965%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.98%EV -7.19%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 15:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 08:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.30%E -4.40%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.07%EV -8.42%E -5.13%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -8.97%E -5.51%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -14.56%E -9.52%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -10.65%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.40%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.72%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -22.07%E -6.69%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.68%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV +1.55%E +0.360%K +0.469%G +0.007% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -15.79%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -19.89%E -5.10%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |