A Escola das Odds

Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929

Início: 2026-05-20 18:00 UTC

Final: Palermo 2–0 US Catanzaro 1929

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palermo (Local)

Previsão 55.84%1.79odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -4.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.72%55.81%55.90%57.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.651.671.7365.36%60.45%59.88%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)

Previsão 20.54%4.87odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.575%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.40%20.70%20.54%23.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.904.464.504.9825.64%22.42%22.22%20.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.62%4.23odd justa
EV +1.55%
Vantagem +0.360%
Kelly +0.469%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.18%23.49%23.56%25.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.853.804.3030.30%25.95%26.32%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV +2.29%E +0.460%K +0.575%G +0.013%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 17:50
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.45%EV +1.67%E +0.338%K +0.424%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV -0.815%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:50
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -1.20%E -0.250%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 17:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -4.49%E -0.965%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.98%EV -7.19%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:38
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 17:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 17:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 15:40
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 08:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:19
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.30%E -4.40%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 17:20
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.07%EV -8.42%E -5.13%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 15:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 17:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -8.97%E -5.51%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -14.56%E -9.52%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-20 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -10.65%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.40%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.72%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -22.07%E -6.69%K -9.60%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-20 17:40
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.68%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV +1.55%E +0.360%K +0.469%G +0.007%4.9%2026-05-20 17:20
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-20 17:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 15:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -15.79%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:20
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -19.89%E -5.10%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 17:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.7%2026-05-20 17:50