La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palermo (Local)
Predicción 55.84%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -4.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.72%55.81%55.90%57.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.651.671.7365.36%60.45%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 20.54%4.87momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.575%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.40%20.70%20.54%23.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.464.504.9825.64%22.42%22.22%20.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV +1.55%
Ventaja +0.360%
Kelly +0.469%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.49%23.56%25.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.853.804.3030.30%25.95%26.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV +2.29%E +0.460%K +0.575%G +0.013% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.45%EV +1.67%E +0.338%K +0.424%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV -0.815%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -1.20%E -0.250%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 17:49 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -4.49%E -0.965%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.98%EV -7.19%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 15:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 17:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 08:09 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.30%E -4.40%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.07%EV -8.42%E -5.13%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -8.97%E -5.51%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -14.56%E -9.52%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -10.65%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.40%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.72%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -22.07%E -6.69%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.68%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV +1.55%E +0.360%K +0.469%G +0.007% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -15.79%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -19.89%E -5.10%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-20 17:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.66% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86% | 1.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |