L’École des cotes

Palermo v US Catanzaro 1929

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 18:00 UTC

Score final : Palermo 2–0 US Catanzaro 1929

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palermo (Local)

Prévision 55.84%1.79cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -4.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.72%55.81%55.90%57.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.651.671.7365.36%60.45%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.54%4.87cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.460%
Kelly +0.575%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.40%20.70%20.54%23.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.464.504.9825.64%22.42%22.22%20.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.62%4.23cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.360%
Kelly +0.469%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.49%23.56%25.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.853.804.3030.30%25.95%26.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.50%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV +2.29%E +0.460%K +0.575%G +0.013%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.11%EV -1.29%E -0.308%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-20 17:50
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.45%EV +1.67%E +0.338%K +0.424%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%EV -0.815%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:50
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.21%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.75%EV -1.20%E -0.250%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 17:49
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -4.49%E -0.965%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.98%EV -7.19%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:38
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.62%E -3.33%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:39
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 17:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.38%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 17:49
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 17:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.25%EV -6.54%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 15:40
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:50
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.30%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -6.72%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 08:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:19
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -7.30%E -4.40%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 17:20
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.57%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.07%EV -8.42%E -5.13%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 15:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 17:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.22%EV -8.97%E -5.51%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -14.56%E -9.52%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.72%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-20 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -10.65%E -2.45%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.08%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.40%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.72%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -22.07%E -6.69%K -9.60%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-20 17:40
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.68%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV +1.55%E +0.360%K +0.469%G +0.007%4.9%2026-05-20 17:20
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-20 17:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-20 15:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -15.79%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 17:20
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.06%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:20
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -6.18%E -3.68%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -19.89%E -5.10%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%1.7%2026-05-20 17:50