Language:English
Palermo v Avellino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palermo (Local)
Prediction 59.58%1.68fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -8.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.50%59.60%59.53%61.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.571.5968.97%64.40%63.69%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avellino (Visit)
Prediction 16.56%6.04fair odd
EV +7.61%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.34%16.49%16.59%18.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.495.506.5020.41%18.23%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%23.92%23.88%24.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.793.754.1028.17%26.42%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palermo (Local): 59.58%; Avellino (Visit): 16.56%; Draw: 23.87%. For Avellino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +7.61%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.105% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 17:03 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.62%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.52%EV +2.81%E +0.452%K +0.539%G +0.015% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.86%EV -3.57%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.17%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -2.14%E -0.522%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.60%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -13.61%E -9.39%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.68%EV -9.78%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 17:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.57%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.27%E -4.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -18.88%E -3.85%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.67% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |