La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Palermo v Avellino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palermo (Local)
Predicción 59.58%1.68momio equitativo
EV -5.27%
Ventaja -3.32%
Kelly -8.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.50%59.60%59.53%61.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.551.571.5968.97%64.40%63.69%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avellino (Visitante)
Predicción 16.56%6.04momio equitativo
EV +7.61%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.105%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.34%16.49%16.59%18.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.495.506.5020.41%18.23%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.87%4.19momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.690%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.82%23.92%23.88%24.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.793.754.1028.17%26.42%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +7.61%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.105% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 17:03 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.62%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.52%EV +2.81%E +0.452%K +0.539%G +0.015% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.86%EV -3.57%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 16:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.17%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -2.14%E -0.522%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 17:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 15:29 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:14 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 17:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.60%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -13.61%E -9.39%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-05 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 17:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.68%EV -9.78%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 17:08 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.57%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.27%E -4.30%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -18.88%E -3.85%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 17:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.67% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 17:20 |