A Escola das Odds

Palermo v Avellino

Início: 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palermo (Local)

Previsão 59.58%1.68odd justa
EV -5.27%
Vantagem -3.32%
Kelly -8.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.50%59.60%59.53%61.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.551.571.5968.97%64.40%63.69%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avellino (Visitante)

Previsão 16.56%6.04odd justa
EV +7.61%
Vantagem +1.17%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.105%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.34%16.49%16.59%18.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.495.506.5020.41%18.23%18.18%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.87%4.19odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.522%
Kelly -0.690%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.82%23.92%23.88%24.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.793.754.1028.17%26.42%26.67%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +7.61%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.105%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 17:03
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.62%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.52%EV +2.81%E +0.452%K +0.539%G +0.015%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.86%EV -3.57%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 17:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:39
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 16:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 15:30
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.17%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -2.14%E -0.522%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 15:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:35
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:15
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 17:09
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 16:45
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 15:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 15:29
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 16:15
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 17:20
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 16:14
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:24
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.60%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 17:04
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -13.61%E -9.39%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-05 17:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 17:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.68%EV -9.78%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 17:08
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:20
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 15:50
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 17:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:54
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 14:55
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.57%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.27%E -4.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -18.88%E -3.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-05 17:25
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-05 17:04
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-04-05 17:20