مدرسة الاحتمالات

Palermo v Avellino

البداية: 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Palermo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.58%1.68السعر العادل
EV -5.27%
الأفضلية -3.32%
Kelly -8.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.50%59.60%59.53%61.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.551.571.5968.97%64.40%63.69%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Avellino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.56%6.04السعر العادل
EV +7.61%
الأفضلية +1.17%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.105%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.34%16.49%16.59%18.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.495.506.5020.41%18.23%18.18%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.87%4.19السعر العادل
EV -2.14%
الأفضلية -0.522%
Kelly -0.690%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.82%23.92%23.88%24.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.553.793.754.1028.17%26.42%26.67%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +7.61%E +1.17%K +1.38%G +0.105%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 17:03
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.62%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.52%EV +2.81%E +0.452%K +0.539%G +0.015%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.86%EV -3.57%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 17:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 16:39
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 16:39
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 16:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -0.670%E -0.112%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 15:30
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.17%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -3.98%E -0.686%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%EV -2.14%E -0.522%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 15:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 15:35
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 16:15
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.77%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:15
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.11%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -8.11%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 17:09
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -4.81%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 16:45
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 15:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 15:29
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.91%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 15:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:15
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 16:15
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.49%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 17:20
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.27%EV -9.44%E -6.21%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -8.95%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 16:14
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:24
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:20
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:20
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.60%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 17:04
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.65%EV -13.61%E -9.39%K -30.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.32%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-05 17:10
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.40%EV -6.46%E -4.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 17:05
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.27%EV -10.04%E -6.65%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -13.09%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.68%EV -9.78%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 17:08
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:20
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -5.87%E -3.71%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -13.91%E -2.68%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.88%E -3.53%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.53%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 15:50
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -15.57%E -3.05%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 17:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.66%E -4.94%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.69%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:54
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.07%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 14:55
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.57%EV -8.85%E -5.78%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -15.27%E -4.30%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-05 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.63%E -7.09%K -21.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -18.88%E -3.85%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.30%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 15:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-05 17:25
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.98%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%0.2%2026-04-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.13%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-04-05 17:04
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-04-05 17:20