Школа коэффициентов

Padova v Reggiana

Начало: 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC

Итог: Padova 1–0 Reggiana

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Padova (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.32%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.39%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.13%43.32%43.17%44.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.102.102.2351.28%47.64%47.62%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Reggiana (Гости)

Прогноз 26.95%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.787%
Преимущество +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.74

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.55%26.90%27.13%28.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.423.453.7432.26%29.24%28.99%26.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.73%3.36справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.89%
Преимущество -0.573%
Kelly -0.822%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.50%29.78%29.71%31.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.43%32.26%30.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -3.39%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV +0.787%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -6.65%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 15:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:55
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -10.21%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 15:05
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:59
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -1.89%E -0.573%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 14:55
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -4.26%E -1.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.83%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 03:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 15:05
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.39%EV -5.13%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.76%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.08%E -0.944%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:29
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:55
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -15.52%E -7.96%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 14:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:47
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%EV -12.49%E -6.18%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.11%E -4.80%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.75%E -5.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-19 15:10