مدرسة الاحتمالات

Padova v Reggiana

البداية: 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Padova 1–0 Reggiana

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Padova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.32%2.31السعر العادل
EV -3.39%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.13%43.32%43.17%44.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.102.102.2351.28%47.64%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Reggiana (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.95%3.71السعر العادل
EV +0.787%
الأفضلية +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.55%26.90%27.13%28.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.423.453.7432.26%29.24%28.99%26.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.73%3.36السعر العادل
EV -1.89%
الأفضلية -0.573%
Kelly -0.822%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.50%29.78%29.71%31.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.43%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -3.39%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV +0.787%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -6.65%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 15:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:55
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:34
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:50
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -10.21%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 15:05
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:59
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -1.89%E -0.573%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 14:55
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -4.26%E -1.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.83%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 03:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:35
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 15:05
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.39%EV -5.13%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.76%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.08%E -0.944%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:29
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:55
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -15.52%E -7.96%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 14:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:47
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%EV -12.49%E -6.18%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.11%E -4.80%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.75%E -5.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-19 15:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-19 15:10