Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Padova v Reggiana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC

Score final : Padova 1–0 Reggiana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Padova (Local)

Prévision 43.32%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.13%43.32%43.17%44.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.102.102.2351.28%47.64%47.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Reggiana (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV +0.787%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.90%27.13%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.453.7432.26%29.24%28.99%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.73%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.573%
Kelly -0.822%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.50%29.78%29.71%31.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.43%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Padova (Local) : 43.32% ; Reggiana (Visiteur) : 26.95% ; Match nul : 29.73%. Pour Reggiana (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.74, soit une espérance positive de +0.787%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -3.39%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV +0.787%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -6.65%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 15:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -10.21%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 15:05
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -1.89%E -0.573%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -4.26%E -1.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.83%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 03:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 15:05
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.39%EV -5.13%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.76%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.08%E -0.944%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:10
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -15.52%E -7.96%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 14:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:47
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%EV -12.49%E -6.18%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.11%E -4.80%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.75%E -5.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-19 15:10