Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Padova v Reggiana

Inizio: 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC

Finale: Padova 1–0 Reggiana

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Padova (Casa)

Previsione 43.32%2.31quota equa
EV -3.39%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%43.32%43.17%44.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.102.102.2351.28%47.64%47.62%44.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Reggiana (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.95%3.71quota equa
EV +0.787%
Vantaggio +0.211%
Kelly +0.287%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.55%26.90%27.13%28.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.423.453.7432.26%29.24%28.99%26.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.73%3.36quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -0.573%
Kelly -0.822%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.50%29.78%29.71%31.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.43%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Padova (Casa): 43.32%; Reggiana (Trasferta): 26.95%; Pareggio: 29.73%. Per Reggiana (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.71. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.74, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.787%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -3.39%E -1.52%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV +0.787%E +0.211%K +0.287%G +0.002%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.79%EV -6.65%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 15:05
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.43%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:50
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.95%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.86%EV -10.21%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 15:05
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 15:00
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.29%E -3.41%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.76%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -1.89%E -0.573%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -4.26%E -1.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -10.76%E -5.22%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.83%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 03:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.62%EV -11.63%E -5.70%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 15:05
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.39%EV -5.13%E -2.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.76%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -3.08%E -0.944%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:10
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.69%E -2.13%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 15:05
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.32%E -3.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.80%EV -15.52%E -7.96%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.90%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.12%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-19 14:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.86%E -3.19%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.35%E -2.02%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.84%E -2.53%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.15%EV -10.33%E -4.99%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 14:47
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 15:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.03%E -4.30%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.96%EV -12.49%E -6.18%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -13.78%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -11.19%E -5.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.11%E -4.80%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.81%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.36%E -6.68%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.46%E -5.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -16.75%E -5.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-19 15:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%1.1%2026-04-19 15:05
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-04-19 15:10