Language:English
Padova v Pescara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Padova (Local)
Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV -0.302%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.147%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.00%32.58%32.89%35.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.753.0539.22%35.92%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pescara (Visit)
Prediction 39.10%2.56fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +0.797%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.71%39.07%39.00%42.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.362.382.5950.00%42.45%42.02%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.21%3.54fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.502%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.36%28.11%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.88%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Padova (Local): 32.69%; Pescara (Visit): 39.10%; Draw: 28.21%. For Pescara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.08%EV -11.42%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV +1.27%E +0.489%K +0.797%G +0.010% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -0.302%E -0.099%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.65%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -1.94%E -0.645%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:47 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -14.03%E -5.33%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -18.18%E -6.27%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.76%E -3.94%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.29%EV -11.24%E -4.95%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.04%EV -10.28%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -21.80%E -10.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.64% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |