Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Padova v Pescara

Início: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Final: Padova 1–0 Pescara

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Padova (Local)

Previsão 32.69%3.06odd justa
EV -0.302%
Vantagem -0.099%
Kelly -0.147%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.00%32.58%32.89%35.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.782.753.0539.22%35.92%36.36%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pescara (Visitante)

Previsão 39.10%2.56odd justa
EV +1.27%
Vantagem +0.489%
Kelly +0.797%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.71%39.07%39.00%42.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.362.382.5950.00%42.45%42.02%38.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.21%3.54odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.359%
Kelly -0.502%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%28.36%28.11%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.88%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Padova (Local): 32.69%; Pescara (Visitante): 39.10%; Empate: 28.21%. Para Pescara (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.56. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.59, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.08%EV -11.42%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV +1.27%E +0.489%K +0.797%G +0.010%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -0.302%E -0.099%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.65%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 13:00
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -1.94%E -0.645%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:47
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -14.03%E -5.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -18.18%E -6.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.76%E -3.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.29%EV -11.24%E -4.95%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.04%EV -10.28%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:58
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -21.80%E -10.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-01 13:00