L’École des cotes

Padova v Pescara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Score final : Padova 1–0 Pescara

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Padova (Local)

Prévision 32.69%3.06cote équitable
EV -0.302%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.147%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.00%32.58%32.89%35.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.782.753.0539.22%35.92%36.36%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pescara (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.10%2.56cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.489%
Kelly +0.797%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.71%39.07%39.00%42.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.362.382.5950.00%42.45%42.02%38.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.21%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.502%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%28.36%28.11%30.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.88%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.08%EV -11.42%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV +1.27%E +0.489%K +0.797%G +0.010%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -0.302%E -0.099%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.65%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 13:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -1.94%E -0.645%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:47
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -14.03%E -5.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -18.18%E -6.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 12:59
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.76%E -3.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.29%EV -11.24%E -4.95%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.04%EV -10.28%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:58
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -21.80%E -10.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-01 13:00