مدرسة الاحتمالات

Padova v Pescara

البداية: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Padova 1–0 Pescara

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Padova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.69%3.06السعر العادل
EV -0.302%
الأفضلية -0.099%
Kelly -0.147%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.00%32.58%32.89%35.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.782.753.0539.22%35.92%36.36%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pescara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.10%2.56السعر العادل
EV +1.27%
الأفضلية +0.489%
Kelly +0.797%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.71%39.07%39.00%42.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.362.382.5950.00%42.45%42.02%38.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.21%3.54السعر العادل
EV -1.26%
الأفضلية -0.359%
Kelly -0.502%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.76%28.36%28.11%30.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.243.253.5034.48%30.88%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.08%EV -11.42%E -4.21%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.71%EV +1.27%E +0.489%K +0.797%G +0.010%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.21%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -0.302%E -0.099%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.65%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -8.87%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.21%E -1.72%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.26%E -0.359%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 13:00
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -1.94%E -0.645%K -0.968%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -4.88%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -2.59%E -0.869%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:47
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.16%E -2.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -6.94%E -2.92%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -7.33%E -3.09%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -5.49%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -14.03%E -5.33%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.12%E -3.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -18.18%E -6.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 12:59
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -16.65%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -10.07%E -4.38%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -10.76%E -3.94%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.29%EV -11.24%E -4.95%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.04%EV -10.28%E -3.23%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:58
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.03%E -5.35%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -15.01%E -5.77%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -13.98%E -6.36%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -21.80%E -10.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-01 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.41%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-05-01 13:00