A Escola das Odds

Monza v Empoli

Início: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Final: Monza 2–2 Empoli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Monza (Local)

Previsão 54.38%1.84odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -2.11%
Kelly -4.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.54%54.47%54.39%57.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.671.681.7764.94%59.90%59.52%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empoli (Visitante)

Previsão 21.11%4.74odd justa
EV +1.31%
Vantagem +0.274%
Kelly +0.346%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.05%21.00%21.15%22.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.444.404.8025.32%22.51%22.73%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.51%4.08odd justa
EV -1.96%
Vantagem -0.489%
Kelly -0.653%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.40%24.53%24.46%26.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.753.804.0030.77%26.68%26.32%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -8.58%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 18:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -14.08%E -8.91%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -14.08%E -8.91%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -15.16%E -9.72%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -0.796%E -0.169%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.09%E -4.79%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:15
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.27%E -6.22%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:04
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.29%EV -16.25%E -10.55%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 17:34
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.84%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -3.96%E -0.871%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.96%E -0.489%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:24
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:20
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.69%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -9.87%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:14
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.32%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.47%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.21%EV -9.80%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.32%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.02%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.48%EV -14.52%E -3.58%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:25