L’École des cotes

Monza v Empoli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Score final : Monza 2–2 Empoli

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Monza (Local)

Prévision 54.38%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.54%54.47%54.39%57.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.671.681.7764.94%59.90%59.52%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Empoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.11%4.74cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.346%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.05%21.00%21.15%22.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.444.404.8025.32%22.51%22.73%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.51%4.08cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.489%
Kelly -0.653%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.40%24.53%24.46%26.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.753.804.0030.77%26.68%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -8.58%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 18:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -14.08%E -8.91%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -14.08%E -8.91%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -15.16%E -9.72%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -0.796%E -0.169%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.09%E -4.79%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:15
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.27%E -6.22%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:04
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.29%EV -16.25%E -10.55%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 17:34
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.84%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -3.96%E -0.871%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.96%E -0.489%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:24
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:20
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.69%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -9.87%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:14
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.32%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.47%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.21%EV -9.80%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.32%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.02%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.48%EV -14.52%E -3.58%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:25