مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monza v Empoli

البداية: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Monza 2–2 Empoli

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.38%1.84السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -2.11%
Kelly -4.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.54%54.47%54.39%57.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.671.681.7764.94%59.90%59.52%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Empoli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.11%4.74السعر العادل
EV +1.31%
الأفضلية +0.274%
Kelly +0.346%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.05%21.00%21.15%22.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.444.404.8025.32%22.51%22.73%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.51%4.08السعر العادل
EV -1.96%
الأفضلية -0.489%
Kelly -0.653%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.40%24.53%24.46%26.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.753.804.0030.77%26.68%26.32%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -8.58%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 18:20
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV +1.31%E +0.274%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -14.08%E -8.91%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -14.08%E -8.91%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV +0.259%E +0.055%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.39%EV -15.16%E -9.72%K -27.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -0.796%E -0.169%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:34
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.09%E -4.79%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:19
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:14
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:15
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.54%E -2.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -10.27%E -6.22%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:04
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.29%EV -16.25%E -10.55%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -2.91%E -0.632%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-08 17:34
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.84%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -3.96%E -0.871%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.73%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -1.96%E -0.489%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 17:25
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.02%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.13%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 18:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 18:14
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:24
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:20
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.69%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.25%EV -9.87%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -3.18%E -0.806%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:24
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.86%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 18:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.09%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 18:14
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:14
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -6.46%E -3.76%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.21%E -4.06%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.32%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.47%EV -12.41%E -2.99%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.21%EV -9.80%E -2.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.33%EV -8.64%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -4.41%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.32%EV -12.99%E -8.12%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.20%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.02%EV -12.44%E -7.73%K -20.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.48%EV -14.52%E -3.58%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.50%EV -12.99%E -3.66%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-08 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 17:44
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.76%E -3.27%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -20.34%E -6.26%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -11.90%E -7.35%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -16.63%E -4.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -9.31%E -2.52%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-08 18:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-08 18:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-08 18:25