La scuola delle quote

Monza v Bari

Inizio: 2026-04-11 17:30 UTC

Finale: Monza 2–0 Bari

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Monza (Casa)

Previsione 72.78%1.37quota equa
EV -3.93%
Vantaggio -2.98%
Kelly -12.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.16%72.60%72.89%74.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.281.291.3284.03%78.11%77.52%75.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bari (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.68%10.33quota equa
EV +13.39%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.167%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.24%9.72%9.63%11.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.759.119.0011.7112.90%10.97%11.11%8.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.54%5.70quota equa
EV +1.72%
Vantaggio +0.297%
Kelly +0.359%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.43%17.67%17.49%19.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.025.005.8022.22%19.90%20.00%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.24%EV +13.39%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.167%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV -0.556%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 17:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.592%K +0.651%G +0.042%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:15
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV +1.67%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:15
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.44%EV -2.20%E -0.218%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.24%EV -3.01%E -0.545%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 17:24
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 17:04
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:20
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 17:04
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 17:23
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 17:15
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 17:15
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.85%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.72%E +0.297%K +0.359%G +0.006%5.0%2026-04-11 17:25
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:24
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:04
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:05
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:05
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:05
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:15
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:05
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:05
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.19%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.77%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.17%EV -13.39%E -11.25%K -70.49%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.41%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 17:20
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 72.59%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.02%EV -10.92%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 17:25
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:10
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:10
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:09
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 17:05
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 17:13
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.41%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.12%EV -14.79%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.21%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.23%EV -15.28%E -1.75%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 17:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:09
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 17:10
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 17:10
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.40%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.43%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -24.96%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.6%2026-04-11 17:10