مدرسة الاحتمالات

Monza v Bari

البداية: 2026-04-11 17:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Monza 2–0 Bari

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Monza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.78%1.37السعر العادل
EV -3.93%
الأفضلية -2.98%
Kelly -12.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.16%72.60%72.89%74.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.191.281.291.3284.03%78.11%77.52%75.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bari (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.68%10.33السعر العادل
EV +13.39%
الأفضلية +1.14%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.167%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.24%9.72%9.63%11.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.759.119.0011.7112.90%10.97%11.11%8.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.54%5.70السعر العادل
EV +1.72%
الأفضلية +0.297%
Kelly +0.359%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.43%17.67%17.49%19.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.025.005.8022.22%19.90%20.00%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%11.71I 8.54%NM 8.24%EV +13.39%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.167%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV -0.556%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 17:15
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.592%K +0.651%G +0.042%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:15
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV +1.67%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:15
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.44%EV -2.20%E -0.218%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.24%EV -3.01%E -0.545%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 17:24
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 17:04
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:20
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 17:04
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 17:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 17:23
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 17:15
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 17:15
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.85%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.72%E +0.297%K +0.359%G +0.006%5.0%2026-04-11 17:25
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:24
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 17:04
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:05
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:05
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 17:05
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:15
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:05
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 17:05
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.19%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.77%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.17%EV -13.39%E -11.25%K -70.49%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.41%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 17:20
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 72.59%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.02%EV -10.92%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 17:25
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 17:10
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 17:10
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:09
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 17:05
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 17:13
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.41%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.12%EV -14.79%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 17:24
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.21%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.23%EV -15.28%E -1.75%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 17:25
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:09
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:10
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 17:04
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 17:10
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 17:25
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 17:10
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 17:10
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.40%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.43%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -24.96%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 17:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%1.0%2026-04-11 17:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.6%2026-04-11 17:10