L’École des cotesMonza v Bari
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Monza (Local)
Prévision 72.78%1.37cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -12.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.16%72.60%72.89%74.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.281.291.3284.03%78.11%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bari (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.68%10.33cote équitable
EV +13.39%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.167%
avec la cote maximale 11.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.24%9.72%9.63%11.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.119.0011.7112.90%10.97%11.11%8.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.54%5.70cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.297%
Kelly +0.359%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%17.67%17.49%19.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.025.005.8022.22%19.90%20.00%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 11.71I 8.54%NM 8.24%EV +13.39%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.167% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV -0.556%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.592%K +0.651%G +0.042% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV +1.67%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.44%EV -2.20%E -0.218%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.24%EV -3.01%E -0.545%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 17:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 17:23 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.85%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.72%E +0.297%K +0.359%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 17:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.19%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.77%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.17%EV -13.39%E -11.25%K -70.49%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.41%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.59%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.02%EV -10.92%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 17:13 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.41%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.12%EV -14.79%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.21%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.23%EV -15.28%E -1.75%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.40%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.43%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -24.96%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |