La escuela de los momiosMonza v Bari
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Monza (Local)
Predicción 72.78%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -12.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.16%72.60%72.89%74.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.281.291.3284.03%78.11%77.52%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bari (Visitante)
Predicción 9.68%10.33momio equitativo
EV +13.39%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.167%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.24%9.72%9.63%11.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.119.0011.7112.90%10.97%11.11%8.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.54%5.70momio equitativo
EV +1.72%
Ventaja +0.297%
Kelly +0.359%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%17.67%17.49%19.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.025.005.8022.22%19.90%20.00%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 11.71I 8.54%NM 8.24%EV +13.39%E +1.14%K +1.25%G +0.167% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.01%EV -0.556%E -0.098%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.22%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +6.51%E +0.592%K +0.651%G +0.042% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.54%EV +1.67%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.32%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.44%EV -2.20%E -0.218%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.24%EV -3.01%E -0.545%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 17:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 17:23 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.52%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -3.17%E -0.317%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.63%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.85%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.72%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.72%E +0.297%K +0.359%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.52%EV -5.11%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 17:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.64%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -14.06%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -8.01%E -0.844%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.88%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.54%EV -8.98%E -0.956%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.19%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.77%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.17%EV -13.39%E -11.25%K -70.49%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.41%EV -10.43%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 17:20 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.59%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.02%EV -10.92%E -1.19%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -4.66%E -3.56%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.27%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.05%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.52%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.39%EV -11.21%E -9.19%K -50.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.68%EV -12.86%E -1.43%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 17:13 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.41%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.12%EV -14.79%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.21%EV -9.75%E -7.87%K -40.64%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.23%EV -15.28%E -1.75%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.77%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.03%E -7.22%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -17.70%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -3.93%E -2.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -17.57%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -6.12%E -4.74%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.30%E -6.59%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.84%E -5.35%K -24.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -5.39%E -4.14%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.40%EV -7.57%E -5.96%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.02%EV -22.54%E -2.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -21.08%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.43%EV -10.48%E -8.52%K -45.57%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -24.96%E -3.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.58% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 17:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |