La scuola delle quote

Modena v Padova

Inizio: 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Modena (Casa)

Previsione 64.29%1.56quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -7.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.73%64.23%64.18%65.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.19%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Padova (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.79%7.25quota equa
EV +9.50%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescita +0.130%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.12%13.68%13.94%15.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.596.507.9417.54%15.17%15.38%12.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.92%4.56quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.304%
Kelly -0.391%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.13%22.09%21.88%24.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.034.004.5027.78%24.83%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.91%EV -6.14%E -4.20%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 12.12%EV +9.50%E +1.20%K +1.37%G +0.130%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.97%EV -4.00%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 13:55
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.60%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +6.88%E +0.888%K +1.02%G +0.070%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 13:45
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.66I 13.05%NM 12.39%EV +5.64%E +0.736%K +0.847%G +0.048%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.97%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 13:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:43
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -8.71%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 13:45
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:55
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -11.23%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -11.23%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:55
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -8.71%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 13:46
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.51%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.94%EV -6.22%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -1.37%E -0.304%K -0.391%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 13:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:45
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 13:45
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -16.42%E -12.63%K -54.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -18.90%E -5.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:44
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.11%EV -13.85%E -10.34%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.86%EV -14.50%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -15.87%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -17.81%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -15.87%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -17.81%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 13:45
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -18.90%E -5.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 13:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.15%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -13.42%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 09:14
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -21.39%E -3.75%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-28 13:55
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-02-28 13:55