مدرسة الاحتمالات

Modena v Padova

البداية: 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Modena (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.29%1.56السعر العادل
EV -3.56%
الأفضلية -2.38%
Kelly -7.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.73%64.23%64.18%65.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.19%69.44%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Padova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.79%7.25السعر العادل
EV +9.50%
الأفضلية +1.20%
Kelly +1.37%
النمو +0.130%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.12%13.68%13.94%15.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.706.596.507.9417.54%15.17%15.38%12.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.92%4.56السعر العادل
EV -1.37%
الأفضلية -0.304%
Kelly -0.391%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.13%22.09%21.88%24.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.034.004.5027.78%24.83%25.00%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.91%EV -6.14%E -4.20%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 12.12%EV +9.50%E +1.20%K +1.37%G +0.130%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.97%EV -4.00%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 13:55
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.60%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +6.88%E +0.888%K +1.02%G +0.070%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 13:45
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.66I 13.05%NM 12.39%EV +5.64%E +0.736%K +0.847%G +0.048%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.97%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:55
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 13:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:43
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -8.71%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 13:45
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:55
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -11.23%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:55
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -11.23%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:55
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -8.71%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 13:46
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.51%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.94%EV -6.22%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:45
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -1.37%E -0.304%K -0.391%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 13:55
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:45
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 13:45
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -16.42%E -12.63%K -54.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -18.90%E -5.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:44
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.11%EV -13.85%E -10.34%K -40.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.86%EV -14.50%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -15.87%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -17.81%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -15.87%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -17.81%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 13:45
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -18.90%E -5.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 13:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.15%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -13.42%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 09:14
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -21.39%E -3.75%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-02-28 13:55
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-02-28 13:55