La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Modena v Padova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Modena (Local)
Predicción 64.29%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -7.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.73%64.23%64.18%65.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.451.441.5076.92%69.19%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Padova (Visitante)
Predicción 13.79%7.25momio equitativo
EV +9.50%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.130%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.12%13.68%13.94%15.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.706.596.507.9417.54%15.17%15.38%12.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.92%4.56momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.304%
Kelly -0.391%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%22.09%21.88%24.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.034.004.5027.78%24.83%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.91%EV -6.14%E -4.20%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 7.94I 12.59%NM 12.12%EV +9.50%E +1.20%K +1.37%G +0.130% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.97%EV -4.00%E -0.913%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.60%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +6.88%E +0.888%K +1.02%G +0.070% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.66I 13.05%NM 12.39%EV +5.64%E +0.736%K +0.847%G +0.048% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -5.97%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.86%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.71%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.94%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -8.71%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.43%E +0.458%K +0.528%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.08%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.74%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.90%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -11.23%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -11.23%E -2.77%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -8.71%E -6.13%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 13:46 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.46%E -0.495%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.51%EV -5.49%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.94%EV -6.22%E -0.915%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -1.37%E -0.304%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -3.56%E -0.809%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betsson | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.09%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -6.78%E -4.67%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 64.46%EV -16.42%E -12.63%K -54.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.89%EV -10.36%E -1.59%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -18.90%E -5.11%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.68%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.31%EV -13.81%E -2.21%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 13:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.11%EV -13.85%E -10.34%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 13.86%EV -14.50%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -14.52%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -15.87%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -17.81%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -3.56%E -2.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -15.87%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -17.81%E -4.75%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.06%E -5.64%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -5.75%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -18.90%E -5.11%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.15%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -13.42%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -9.99%E -7.14%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -17.25%E -2.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -21.10%E -5.86%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -7.42%E -5.15%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -20.70%E -3.60%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.18%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -21.39%E -3.75%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.47% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |