StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Modena v Empoli

2026-09-20 17:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Modena (Hemma)

Prognos 55.93%1.79rättvist odds
EV -3.79%
Fördel -2.21%
Kelly -5.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.72

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.66%55.90%56.01%57.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.541.661.661.7264.94%60.22%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Empoli (Borta)

Prognos 18.59%5.38rättvist odds
EV +0.031%
Fördel +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.62%18.66%18.52%20.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.254.784.705.3823.53%20.94%21.28%18.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.47%3.93rättvist odds
EV -1.93%
Fördel -0.502%
Kelly -0.678%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.43%25.44%25.47%26.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.00%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Modena (Hemma): 55.93%; Empoli (Borta): 18.59%; Oavgjort: 25.47%. För Empoli (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.378. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.380, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.031%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.44%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.62%EV +0.031%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.20%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:56
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.51%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.20%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -2.70%E -0.706%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.64%EV -6.48%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.54%EV -2.70%E -0.706%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:06
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.93%E -0.502%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 18:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.39%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 19:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -9.39%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 18:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -11.68%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.68%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.78%EV -12.18%E -7.76%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.83%EV -13.54%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 18:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:20
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.67%EV -11.62%E -7.36%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.50%EV -13.86%E -9.00%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.51%EV -14.67%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.66%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.96%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.35%EV -12.74%E -8.17%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.20%EV -12.18%E -7.76%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.02%EV -20.98%E -4.94%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -15.94%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-13 19:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 54.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%16.7%2026-09-13 18:50