A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Modena v Empoli

Início: 2026-09-20 17:33 UTC

Final: Modena 2–1 Empoli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Modena (Local)

Previsão 64.42%1.55odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.936%
Kelly -2.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.93%64.16%64.52%66.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.451.451.5375.76%69.20%68.97%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empoli (Visitante)

Previsão 13.72%7.29odd justa
EV +2.88%
Vantagem +0.384%
Kelly +0.443%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.52%13.85%13.66%16.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.406.506.507.5018.52%15.38%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.86%4.57odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.265%
Kelly -0.340%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.73%21.99%21.82%24.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.114.004.5227.40%24.35%25.00%22.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Modena (Local): 64.42%; Empoli (Visitante): 13.72%; Empate: 21.86%. Para Empoli (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.88%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +2.88%E +0.384%K +0.443%G +0.013%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.82%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.52%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.74%EV -0.550%E -0.076%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 17:24
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.94%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.16%EV -0.688%E -0.095%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.90%EV -9.07%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.22%EV -1.24%E -0.172%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.63%E -0.363%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.76%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -3.82%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 17:24
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:28
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 17:28
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -12.38%E -9.11%K -34.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -3.98%E -0.569%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.01%EV -7.87%E -5.51%K -18.31%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.38%EV -4.67%E -0.671%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.74%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.92%EV -4.94%E -0.713%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.34%EV -1.20%E -0.265%K -0.340%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -6.72%E -0.989%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -6.72%E -0.989%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.50%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -6.72%E -0.989%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.81%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.53%EV -6.72%E -0.989%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.81%EV -8.52%E -6.00%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.53%EV -6.72%E -0.989%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.52%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -6.72%E -0.989%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -3.82%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 17:24
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.27%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -7.41%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.00%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.10%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -7.41%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 17:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -7.41%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 17:24
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 17:24
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 17:24
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 17:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 17:24
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.51%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -15.84%E -4.11%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -10.84%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 17:19
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -3.36%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.82%E -0.868%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.03%EV -11.74%E -8.57%K -31.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -14.27%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 17:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.30%EV -10.45%E -7.52%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.42%EV -16.33%E -2.68%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -13.66%E -3.46%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.31%EV -14.96%E -11.33%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 13.92%EV -16.33%E -2.68%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.77%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-20 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.70%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:24
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.70%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:24
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.70%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.00%EV -10.45%E -7.52%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.70%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 17:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -17.70%E -2.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.56%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 17:23
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.13%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -20.44%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.93%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.13%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -20.44%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.93%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -20.44%E -3.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -16.93%E -4.46%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 17:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -9.81%E -7.01%K -24.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.30%EV -23.18%E -4.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -20.21%E -5.54%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-20 17:24
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -1.43%E -0.936%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -25.93%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -19.12%E -5.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 17:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-09-20 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-09-20 17:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-09-20 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-09-20 17:29
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.61%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%0.8%2026-09-20 17:29