Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Modena v Empoli

2026-09-20 17:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Modena (Local)

Prévision 55.93%1.79cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -5.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%55.90%56.01%57.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.661.661.7264.94%60.22%60.24%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Empoli (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.59%5.38cote équitable
EV +0.031%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.62%18.66%18.52%20.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.784.705.3823.53%20.94%21.28%18.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.47%3.93cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.502%
Kelly -0.678%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.43%25.44%25.47%26.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.00%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Modena (Local) : 55.93% ; Empoli (Visiteur) : 18.59% ; Match nul : 25.47%. Pour Empoli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.378. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.380, pour une espérance positive de +0.031%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.44%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.62%EV +0.031%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.20%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 18:56
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.39%E -0.455%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.51%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.32%E -0.638%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.20%E -0.843%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.26%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -5.18%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -2.70%E -0.706%K -0.956%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 19:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.64%EV -6.48%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.54%EV -2.70%E -0.706%K -0.956%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 19:06
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.93%E -0.502%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 18:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.39%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.03%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.03%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 19:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -9.39%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -8.89%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 18:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -11.68%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.68%E -2.46%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.75%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.79%E -2.21%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -12.61%E -2.68%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.78%EV -12.18%E -7.76%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.83%EV -13.54%E -2.91%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 18:49
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:20
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.47%E -3.15%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.39%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.67%EV -11.62%E -7.36%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.57%E -2.70%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-13 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.50%EV -13.86%E -9.00%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.33%E -3.63%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.51%EV -14.67%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.66%EV -6.59%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.96%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 19:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.35%EV -12.74%E -8.17%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.62%EV -18.19%E -4.13%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -12.12%E -3.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.20%EV -12.18%E -7.76%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.02%EV -20.98%E -4.94%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -15.94%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-13 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 54.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.47%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.96%16.7%2026-09-13 18:50