The School of Odds
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Mantova v Sampdoria

2026-09-13 15:15 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mantova (Local)

Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.48%43.43%43.58%44.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.122.2051.28%47.46%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sampdoria (Visit)

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%27.06%26.95%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.57%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.38%29.52%29.46%30.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.3034.48%32.22%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mantova (Local): 43.51%; Sampdoria (Visit): 27.00%; Draw: 29.49%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -2.69%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.80%E -0.779%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:35
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 19:55
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.42%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -2.69%E -0.814%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 00:35
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 19:55
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.45%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 00:35
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.74%EV -6.88%E -3.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.89%EV -4.46%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -4.46%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.11%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:55
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 21:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:48
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.60%E -4.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.06%E -3.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 00:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 00:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 00:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 00:35
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.53%E -3.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.47%EV -12.10%E -5.99%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -10.36%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -13.89%E -4.76%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -12.97%E -6.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -12.25%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -13.01%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-08 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -15.15%E -7.77%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -10.90%E -3.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -14.48%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-08 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 42.66%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.26%17.2%2026-09-08 00:35