Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mantova v Sampdoria

2026-09-13 15:15 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mantova (Casa)

Previsione 43.54%2.30quota equa
EV -4.21%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.48%43.45%43.57%44.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.112.112.2051.28%47.50%47.39%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sampdoria (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.06%3.70quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -0.719%
Kelly -0.996%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.11%27.11%26.97%28.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.70%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.40%3.40quota equa
EV -2.97%
Vantaggio -0.901%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.38%29.44%29.46%30.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.103.3034.48%32.07%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Mantova (Casa): 43.54%; Sampdoria (Trasferta): 27.06%; Pareggio: 29.40%. Per Sampdoria (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.70. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.60, con un valore atteso del -2.59%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -2.59%E -0.719%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:35
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 02:10
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.89%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -2.97%E -0.901%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 00:35
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 02:10
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 00:35
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.74%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.89%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -4.74%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 19:55
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.25%EV -7.70%E -3.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.30%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 21:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:48
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 20:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -13.41%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.71%E -3.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 00:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.41%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 02:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.41%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.41%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -8.85%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 02:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.74%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 19:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.47%EV -12.05%E -5.97%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -10.17%E -3.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -14.15%E -4.84%K -7.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.60%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -12.06%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.56%EV -13.26%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-08 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -15.10%E -7.74%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -10.71%E -3.24%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-08 00:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 42.66%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.26%17.2%2026-09-08 00:35