StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mantova v Sampdoria

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 15:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mantova (Hemma)

Prognos 40.74%2.45rättvist odds
EV -2.63%
Fördel -1.10%
Kelly -1.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.39

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.36%40.82%40.73%44.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.222.252.3951.28%45.01%44.44%41.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sampdoria (Borta)

Prognos 29.71%3.37rättvist odds
EV +3.99%
Fördel +1.14%
Kelly +1.60%
Tillväxt +0.064%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.70%29.66%29.65%31.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.163.103.5034.72%31.69%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.55%3.38rättvist odds
EV -2.49%
Fördel -0.754%
Kelly -1.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.45%29.52%29.63%31.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.113.103.3034.72%32.17%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mantova (Hemma): 40.74%; Sampdoria (Borta): 29.71%; Oavgjort: 29.55%. För Sampdoria (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.37. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.99%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV +2.80%E +0.811%K +1.14%G +0.032%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.27%EV -7.22%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:11
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -16.08%E -7.81%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -0.464%E -0.138%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -16.49%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -0.464%E -0.138%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:16
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -16.49%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -0.464%E -0.138%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:11
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -6.71%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -16.89%E -8.28%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.43%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:51
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:56
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:50
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -9.56%E -4.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 09:21
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -9.56%E -4.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.83%EV -20.56%E -10.54%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.47%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 14:16
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 15:00
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 15:01
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -2.49%E -0.754%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:51
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -14.90%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -14.90%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -16.49%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -14.45%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.61%EV -8.78%E -2.86%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.57%EV -12.24%E -4.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 09:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:10
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:09
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.90%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 15:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-13 14:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 15:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 14:51
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:11
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-09-13 15:05