Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mantova v Sampdoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 15:16 UTC

Score final : Mantova 2–0 Sampdoria

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 40.74%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.36%40.82%40.73%44.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.222.252.3951.28%45.01%44.44%41.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.71%3.37cote équitable
EV +3.99%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.70%29.66%29.65%31.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.163.103.5034.72%31.69%32.26%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.55%3.38cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.754%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.45%29.52%29.63%31.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.3034.72%32.17%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mantova (Local) : 40.74% ; Sampdoria (Visiteur) : 29.71% ; Match nul : 29.55%. Pour Sampdoria (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +3.99%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:16
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.064%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:15
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.47%EV +2.80%E +0.811%K +1.14%G +0.032%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.27%EV -7.22%E -2.30%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 15:11
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -16.08%E -7.81%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -0.464%E -0.138%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -16.49%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -0.464%E -0.138%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:16
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -16.49%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -0.464%E -0.138%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:16
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.54%EV -2.63%E -1.10%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.36%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:11
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.50%EV -6.71%E -2.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.72%EV -16.89%E -8.28%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -1.95%E -0.591%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.25%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.43%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:51
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:56
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 14:50
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -9.56%E -4.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 09:21
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -9.56%E -4.31%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.88%E -3.24%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.83%EV -20.56%E -10.54%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.47%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 14:16
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 15:00
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -7.81%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 15:01
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 15:04
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -2.49%E -0.754%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:51
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -12.83%E -4.35%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -14.90%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -14.90%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 09:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -16.49%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -14.45%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.61%EV -8.78%E -2.86%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.57%EV -12.24%E -4.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 09:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:10
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:09
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -14.90%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -3.97%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 15:05
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.31%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-13 14:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.92%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:20
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.40%E -2.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 12:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.44%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 15:05
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.04%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.35%E -3.78%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 14:51
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-09-13 15:11
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-09-13 15:05