Школа коэффициентов

Mantova v Monza

Начало: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Итог: Mantova 3–2 Monza

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

50 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mantova (Хозяева)

Прогноз 20.94%4.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.19%
Преимущество +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
Рост +0.094%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.07

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.72%20.89%20.98%22.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.434.455.0725.00%22.57%22.47%19.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Monza (Гости)

Прогноз 53.00%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.06%
Преимущество -2.24%
Kelly -5.02%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.81

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.22%53.07%52.93%55.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.591.721.721.8162.89%58.16%58.14%55.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.05%3.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.00%
Преимущество -0.264%
Kelly -0.359%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.86%26.05%26.08%27.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.513.523.8031.25%28.52%28.37%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV +6.19%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.094%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.55%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV +0.325%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:00
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.69%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.63%EV -15.72%E -9.89%K -26.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.90%EV -10.42%E -6.17%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -14.13%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-05-01 13:00