L’École des cotesMantova v Monza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mantova (Local)
Prévision 20.94%4.77cote équitable
EV +6.19%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.094%
avec la cote maximale 5.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.72%20.89%20.98%22.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.455.0725.00%22.57%22.47%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Monza (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.00%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.06%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -5.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.22%53.07%52.93%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.591.721.721.8162.89%58.16%58.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.05%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.264%
Kelly -0.359%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.86%26.05%26.08%27.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.513.523.8031.25%28.52%28.37%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV +6.19%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.094% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.55%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV +0.325%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bovada | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.69%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.63%EV -15.72%E -9.89%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.90%EV -10.42%E -6.17%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -14.13%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |