مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mantova v Monza

البداية: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mantova 3–2 Monza

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mantova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.94%4.77السعر العادل
EV +6.19%
الأفضلية +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
النمو +0.094%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.72%20.89%20.98%22.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.434.455.0725.00%22.57%22.47%19.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Monza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.00%1.89السعر العادل
EV -4.06%
الأفضلية -2.24%
Kelly -5.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.22%53.07%52.93%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.591.721.721.8162.89%58.16%58.14%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.05%3.84السعر العادل
EV -1.00%
الأفضلية -0.264%
Kelly -0.359%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.86%26.05%26.08%27.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.513.523.8031.25%28.52%28.37%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV +6.19%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.094%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.55%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV +0.325%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:00
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 13:00
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.69%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 54.63%EV -15.72%E -9.89%K -26.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.90%EV -10.42%E -6.17%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -14.13%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 13:00
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%1.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-05-01 13:00