La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mantova v Monza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mantova (Local)
Predicción 20.94%4.77momio equitativo
EV +6.19%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.72%20.89%20.98%22.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.455.0725.00%22.57%22.47%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Monza (Visitante)
Predicción 53.00%1.89momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -5.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.22%53.07%52.93%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.721.721.8162.89%58.16%58.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.264%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.86%26.05%26.08%27.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.523.8031.25%28.52%28.37%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV +6.19%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.094% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.55%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV +0.325%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bovada | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.69%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.63%EV -15.72%E -9.89%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.90%EV -10.42%E -6.17%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -14.13%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |