La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Mantova v Monza
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Mantova (Casa)
Previsione 20.94%4.77quota equa
EV +6.19%
Vantaggio +1.22%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.094%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.72%20.89%20.98%22.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.434.455.0725.00%22.57%22.47%19.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Monza (Trasferta)
Previsione 53.00%1.89quota equa
EV -4.06%
Vantaggio -2.24%
Kelly -5.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.22%53.07%52.93%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.721.721.8162.89%58.16%58.14%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.05%3.84quota equa
EV -1.00%
Vantaggio -0.264%
Kelly -0.359%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.86%26.05%26.08%27.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.513.523.8031.25%28.52%28.37%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV +6.19%E +1.22%K +1.52%G +0.094% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.55%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV +0.534%E +0.111%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.02%EV +0.325%E +0.068%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.57%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.41%EV -5.43%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -0.513%E -0.108%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -9.36%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.00%E -0.264%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.56%E -0.332%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.54%EV -11.48%E -6.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -3.65%E -0.794%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bovada | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.27%EV -4.70%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.65%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.77%E -4.47%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -5.75%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -12.54%E -7.60%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.29%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.69%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.80%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -7.84%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -2.31%E -0.615%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.30%E -4.80%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -9.31%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.18%EV -14.13%E -8.72%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -16.63%E -5.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40%EV -4.06%E -2.24%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -9.94%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.63%EV -15.72%E -9.89%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.18%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.52%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -10.99%E -2.58%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.90%EV -10.42%E -6.17%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.99%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.83%E -5.14%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -12.03%E -2.86%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -9.89%E -5.82%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -14.13%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.18%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.24%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.22%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -10.95%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.60% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.76% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |