Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.16
assuming max odds 4.17
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Empoli (Local): 44.64%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 24.52%; Draw: 30.84%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.75%EV +2.24%E +0.536%K +0.706%G +0.016% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -9.94%E -3.40%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +1.99%E +0.479%K +0.630%G +0.013% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -9.32%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -11.48%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.03%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -9.78%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 10:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -15.42%E -4.47%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -13.40%E -6.91%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.64%E -4.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-19 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.55%E -6.73%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.64%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87% | 2.9% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |