L’École des cotes

Empoli v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 17:30 UTC

Score final : Empoli 1–1 Virtus Entella

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Empoli (Local)

Prévision 44.64%2.24cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.72%44.58%44.71%45.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.052.052.1651.55%48.70%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.52%4.08cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.536%
Kelly +0.706%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.75%24.55%24.38%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.654.1731.25%27.15%27.40%23.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.84%3.24cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.591%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.82%30.86%30.91%32.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.20%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.75%EV +2.24%E +0.536%K +0.706%G +0.016%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -9.94%E -3.40%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +1.99%E +0.479%K +0.630%G +0.013%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 17:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:25
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:25
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:25
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:20
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 17:24
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -9.32%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:25
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -11.48%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 17:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 15:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 17:25
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.03%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -9.78%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 17:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -15.42%E -4.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -13.40%E -6.91%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.64%E -4.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.55%E -6.73%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.64%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%2.9%2026-04-19 17:20