La scuola delle quote

Empoli v Virtus Entella

Inizio: 2026-04-19 17:30 UTC

Finale: Empoli 1–1 Virtus Entella

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Empoli (Casa)

Previsione 44.64%2.24quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -1.66%
Kelly -3.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.72%44.58%44.71%45.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.052.052.1651.55%48.70%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Virtus Entella (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.52%4.08quota equa
EV +2.24%
Vantaggio +0.536%
Kelly +0.706%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.75%24.55%24.38%26.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.683.654.1731.25%27.15%27.40%23.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.84%3.24quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.407%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.82%30.86%30.91%32.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.20%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.75%EV +2.24%E +0.536%K +0.706%G +0.016%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -9.94%E -3.40%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +1.99%E +0.479%K +0.630%G +0.013%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.80%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 17:05
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:25
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.66%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.75%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -1.93%E -0.483%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:20
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:25
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.32%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -3.16%E -0.799%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 17:25
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:20
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 17:24
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -9.32%E -3.17%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:25
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.54%EV -7.15%E -3.44%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.09%E -2.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:20
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.69%EV -11.48%E -4.00%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 17:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.33%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 15:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 17:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -11.17%E -3.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -8.06%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.17%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 17:25
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.29%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.03%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -9.78%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 17:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 17:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.03%E -1.87%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 10:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.26%E -2.98%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.18%EV -12.06%E -6.12%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.74%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -15.18%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -8.94%E -4.38%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -1.30%E -0.407%K -0.591%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -5.36%E -2.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.96%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.10%E -4.24%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 17:25
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.83%E -4.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -2.84%E -0.903%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.47%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 12:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:15
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.49%E -4.14%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 17:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -11.61%E -5.87%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.19%E -4.05%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -10.55%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 17:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -15.42%E -4.47%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -4.39%E -1.41%K -2.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 16:30
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -13.40%E -6.91%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.64%E -4.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.72%E -5.36%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -21.55%E -6.73%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.64%E -4.87%K -7.58%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-19 17:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.87%2.9%2026-04-19 17:20